TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf80…3259backed Over56c13,695$7,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,039.9810446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c9,739$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.098,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c7,893$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.695,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over49c6,058$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.998743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c5,861$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.893,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Over50c4,792$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.56526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over60c4,325$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.228139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c2,924$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.7875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c2,823$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.611,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c2,461$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.442,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c2,425$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.1828940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over51c2,245$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.318833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over51c2,076$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.0312646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e99…5329backed Under3c2,075$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over52c1,931$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.643545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over73c1,845$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.544626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over75c1,632$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6111039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under38c1,344$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under46c1,090$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over55c1,015$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.596331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under51c997.97$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.4410128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Under51c982.01$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over29c943.71$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over52c861.52$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9617440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c743.17$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.021,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under48c632.47$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.312433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over51c588.23$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1216051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Over52c390.24$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.714436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over53c384.08$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.574281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over47c377.37$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.972152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c334.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c313.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under35c277.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under52c270.82$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under51c243.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.984542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Over25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under53c235.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over28c229.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5219040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Under32c221.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c221$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.641,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under51c218$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0841262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over54c201.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.541,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Under69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13814654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over68c197.42$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.422,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under26c160.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.139920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under41c152.93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under14c148.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.774973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under53c144.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under49c142.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9911817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under50c142.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c133.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.631,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Over24c129.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.612347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over63c114$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over63c110$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.749341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under47c102.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2663061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f50…fbf2backed Under49c102.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over18c95.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5144939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Over53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under56c87.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8419349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under52c85.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4316449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under51c80.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c79.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.741,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over71c73.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.192356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over60c63.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over54c56.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2214943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under49c42.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.839056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0218426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under51c24.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6914264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under52c24.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6934155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under70c21.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154358.1%25 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc80…3b15backed Over51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2130…ffb2backed Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over78c19.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under75c19.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.267350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under75c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.224856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over72c15.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.234353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.