South American Leagues · resolved market
Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d44ca976db954501731d3d59630d987f3d50349141ca23d6a6e670fdf12105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,277$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.15 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 2,549$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 1,708$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.51 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 53c | 1,016$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.56 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 867.12$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 779.05$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 5c | 693.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 27c | 666.61$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 515.55$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 39c | 421.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 39c | 399.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 38c | 345.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 54c | 312.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 39c | 269.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 245.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 52c | 169.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 142.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 36c | 124.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 80c | 118.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 56c | 94.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 81.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 79.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 39.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 65c | 37.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 49c | 35.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 49c | 31.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 0.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 1.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 2.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Recoleta FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: Recoleta FC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.