South American Leagues · resolved market
Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ef029e3124f8f593b65ee6f1429bac18a8feacd5e9645460e9d2bf493bc7eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 42,359$6,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,842.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 38c | 27,762$10,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,473.05 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 9,479$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 41c | 9,428$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 7,924$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 4,641$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.39 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 2,601$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.89 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,464$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 68c | 2,148$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.42 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 43c | 1,770$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.95 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Over | 41c | 1,538$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.99 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 1,232$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.01 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 21c | 883.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 45c | 720.74$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.76 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 14c | 702.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 29c | 539.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 39c | 521.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 25c | 410.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 14c | 394.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 22c | 366.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 28c | 360.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 26c | 322.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 28c | 253.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Over | 14c | 214.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 68c | 212.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 27c | 187.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 80c | 183.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 12c | 172.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 20c | 170.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 65c | 136.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 78c | 133.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Over | 41c | 122.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 61c | 113.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 9c | 112.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed Under | 59c | 89.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 62c | 79.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 79.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Under | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 68.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed Under | 61c | 65.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 66c | 64.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…91f6backed Over | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 40c | 38.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 38.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 62c | 31.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Over | 37c | 29.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 63c | 25.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 69c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5this page
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 0.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 1.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 2.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Over won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Recoleta FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: Recoleta FC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.