TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,328 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69e3…761fbacked Over76c1,400$1,064 inWon+$336475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c927.66$206 inLost-$205.638,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c833.68$236 inLost-$235.512,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over79c546.39$430 inWon+$116.4875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under24c488.5$119 inLost-$119.272,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over76c404.62$308 inWon+$97.1110426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under24c146.09$36 inLost-$35.6519040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over68c121.97$83 inWon+$39.031,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Over75c120$90 inWon+$301861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c94.8$22 inLost-$22.233,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over77c91.52$70 inWon+$21.0566837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over75c58.92$44 inWon+$14.731,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Under26c57.69$15 inLost-$1510044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over70c53.81$38 inWon+$16.142356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over65c50$33 inWon+$17.544939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c46.75$11 inLost-$10.752,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over77c45.45$35 inWon+$10.451080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under27c45$12 inLost-$12.154856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.412864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f65…ec56backed Over77c25.42$20 inWon+$5.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over75c21$16 inWon+$5.1515768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over76c20$15 inWon+$4.81866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over72c18.25$13 inWon+$5.115100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec2…92e3backed Over77c15.25$12 inWon+$3.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.