TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,194 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5919…95acbacked Under43c3,781$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.2211543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41e…2184backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…fce1backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4888…e0c3backed Over55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a7…4c25backed Over55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3373…2e60backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…1d93backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c929.14$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b4…d217backed Over55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4218…52dabacked Over55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over56c787.48$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over57c613.03$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c603.22$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over57c460.11$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.859352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c345.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.473,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over54c220.76$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.931,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c201$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over57c191.82$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under44c189$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.621,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over56c186$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c182.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.913,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4441449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…439fbacked Under43c172$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c171.52$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.192,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c166.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under44c163.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4751…dd9bbacked Under43c163$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd7…e4dabacked Under42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae72…4a8fbacked Under43c154$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over57c152.31$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under44c152.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.189442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under42c149.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9913448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Under42c149.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.994637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over57c149.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.091,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fe…196dbacked Under43c143$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.49450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over57c136.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7291…5e34backed Under43c131$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over57c108.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4312558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4169337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4547738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under44c93.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.141,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over63c84.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.533,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Over56c80.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.353542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab8…f3babacked Over58c73.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…62b6backed Over58c71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7b…feb5backed Over58c71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bca…9cd4backed Over58c69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over65c66.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0536949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe1…48b5backed Over58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Under35c63.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.423531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d38…a83fbacked Over58c63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over58c59.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…f2bcbacked Over58c57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf61d…3319backed Over58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa1…2c8abacked Over57c52.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.382055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…5478backed Over58c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+67.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb2…5519backed Over58c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Over56c48.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.287642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over59c44.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2757250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe515…6181backed Over58c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.684332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over54c39.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.261,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c37.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2539055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c14…f7eabacked Over58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x695d…9121backed Over58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7914931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over56c33.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9314347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…7227backed Over58c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…b5e2backed Over58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over57c30.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2316046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a9…385dbacked Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf53…7294backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over68c29.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5be1…2b7ebacked Over58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac14…7a55backed Over58c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Under43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f59…5409backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab9…e5a6backed Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under46c24.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under43c24.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over56c23.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802e…ed9ebacked Over58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Over57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0513052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.667652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Over58c20.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.747650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2151…6e16backed Over58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Over68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.