NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fbca9f2df38b53d9097360a34f84f2a10fd853e1db514045a25ffa327ed284e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,443 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 582.06$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 377.68$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 336.21$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 292.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 239.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Under | 47c | 197.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 196.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 194.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 192.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 188.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 169.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 167.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 54c | 154.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 134$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 39c | 105.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 58c | 91.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 45c | 89.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Under | 51c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 57.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Over | 54c | 53.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 53.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 42.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 37.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed Over | 55c | 34.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 33.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 51c | 33.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…7d2cbacked Over | 57c | 33.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 53c | 33.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 32.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 46c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Over | 56c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…9522backed Over | 54c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 253.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 261.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 277.5Over won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-17.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.