NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb686fb671c6d9f441b0b6343d0831f4323603578086890b8206caa97c196d9d7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 76ersof 76ers, Bulls
Resolved: Mar 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,093 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x079e…8254backed 76ers	54c	30,007$16,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,802.9	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls	46c	26,896$12,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,371.44	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed 76ers	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,999.99	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls	45c	16,738$7,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,532.31	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls	45c	5,894$2,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,657.62	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls	46c	4,267$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961.84	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers	54c	3,750$2,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,725.06	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bulls	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers	54c	1,438$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.48	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed 76ers	56c	1,014$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.9	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers	54c	992.98$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.77	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers	54c	888.68$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.79	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers	54c	885.58$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.76	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers	55c	809.45$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.33	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls	46c	737$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.02	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Bulls	44c	673.47$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.33	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Bulls	46c	567.98$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.27	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bulls	46c	463$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.98	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers	54c	383.29$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.32	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked 76ers	55c	363.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.82	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked 76ers	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Bulls	46c	296.44$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.36	186	48.9%91 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Bulls	46c	239.13$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bulls	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed 76ers	60c	179.17$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.67	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bulls	46c	153$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.38	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Bulls	46c	153$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.38	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls	46c	152.39$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.1	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers	54c	149.5$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.86	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Bulls	45c	133.5$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers	59c	119.58$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers	59c	115.45$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.84	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Bulls	46c	108.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.84	160	46.3%74 W · 86 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed 76ers	54c	100.35$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.16	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Bulls	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked 76ers	55c	98.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.55	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed 76ers	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Bulls	45c	88.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Bulls	46c	85.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Bulls	45c	83.53$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.59	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked 76ers	53c	71.8$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Bulls	45c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Bulls	46c	60.13$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.66	230	48.7%112 W · 118 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Bulls	46c	54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Bulls	46c	52.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed 76ers	61c	49.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.19	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Bulls	46c	46.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	169	48.5%82 W · 87 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd6…24c5backed Bulls	46c	36.72$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked 76ers	60c	36.66$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.67	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed 76ers	54c	36.34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bulls	43c	35.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers	55c	35.29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.88	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Bulls	46c	32.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bulls	46c	29.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Bulls	47c	29.06$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Bulls	46c	27.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Bulls	47c	27.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7d…2281backed 76ers	54c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6855…ba24backed Bulls	46c	23.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed 76ers	65c	19.93$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.01	144	71.5%103 W · 41 L	+22.1wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+25%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event