TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,587 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Bulls47c25,115$11,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,906.2760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c15…c697backed 76ers50c25,032$12,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5166100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e7e…d973backed Bulls50c24,270$12,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,135475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa20b…df6ebacked 76ers50c20,037$10,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,018.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…1d57backed Bulls50c17,956$8,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,978771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed 76ers53c16,727$8,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,861.7156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf362…a438backed Bulls50c16,106$8,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,053683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+72.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c49…2555backed Bulls50c15,884$7,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,942757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Bulls50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x217d…ac18backed Bulls50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…adf4backed 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…640fbacked Bulls50c9,748$4,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers49c8,309$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.591,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls51c7,540$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ecf…4ed7backed Bulls50c6,778$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…c29abacked Bulls50c5,696$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8481266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ff…c158backed 76ers50c4,556$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…e580backed 76ers50c4,518$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers51c4,504$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.761,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1f…5192backed 76ers50c4,486$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Bulls49c4,417$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.5720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56e8…5ee9backed 76ers50c4,334$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e9…d05abacked 76ers50c4,329$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9399…bd50backed 76ers50c4,125$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bc…e395backed Bulls50c4,116$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 76ers49c4,080$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.7428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls49c3,864$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.334,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368f…fe1bbacked 76ers50c3,749$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers49c3,730$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.421,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed 76ers54c3,611$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.9619954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf177…e5ffbacked Bulls50c3,608$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers54c3,556$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers51c3,452$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.292,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed 76ers51c3,443$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.8741553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bulls49c3,162$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.2335749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacdc…d2e1backed 76ers50c2,816$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e26…c747backed 76ers50c2,785$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bulls49c2,781$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.8924045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers51c2,711$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers59c2,689$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.154,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0455…beeebacked Bulls50c2,684$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…d140backed 76ers50c2,624$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers50c2,575$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb09d…a5e7backed 76ers50c2,562$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca13…a3eebacked 76ers50c2,553$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116e…9e18backed Bulls50c2,514$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Bulls47c2,513$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.1812945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a7…5a3bbacked 76ers50c2,456$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6da4…8594backed Bulls50c2,435$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bbf…b794backed Bulls50c2,421$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb378…f69ebacked 76ers50c2,413$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x928f…de3dbacked 76ers50c2,404$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c2f…adb0backed 76ers50c2,384$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls48c2,325$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.211,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2319…64a0backed 76ers50c2,314$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…15f6backed Bulls50c2,310$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a97…99bebacked 76ers50c2,298$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9107…c10cbacked Bulls50c2,282$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da0…ca95backed Bulls50c2,279$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8a…ad3cbacked Bulls50c2,274$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61c…c177backed 76ers50c2,273$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfbb…0dadbacked 76ers50c2,268$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee0…2545backed 76ers50c2,268$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0605…bf96backed 76ers50c2,261$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e9…475abacked Bulls50c2,236$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e2…c2d9backed 76ers50c2,188$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf812…4e9fbacked 76ers50c2,178$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0f…0c6dbacked 76ers50c2,178$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f2…3d9bbacked 76ers50c2,176$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5a…6e75backed Bulls50c2,172$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb1…f3acbacked 76ers50c2,172$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0861369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0252…bc75backed 76ers50c2,170$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bulls49c2,166$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7153…e4f8backed Bulls50c2,156$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…4fe5backed 76ers50c2,138$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls51c2,120$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bd…52f5backed 76ers50c2,096$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0481060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a4…7288backed Bulls50c2,064$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7691…f8ecbacked 76ers50c2,059$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers51c2,055$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.952,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee3…cc49backed 76ers50c2,036$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52a1…6bdabacked 76ers50c2,003$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Bulls50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814f…9080backed 76ers50c1,994$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b4…d418backed 76ers50c1,984$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+74.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe92a…9f60backed 76ers50c1,983$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b4…9839backed 76ers50c1,978$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9895100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed 76ers51c1,961$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.8410847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2004…3139backed 76ers50c1,956$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick41cpaid+69.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15c4…345dbacked 76ers50c1,926$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb69f…9846backed Bulls50c1,914$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x886a…235cbacked 76ers50c1,860$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9305100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfb1…981bbacked 76ers50c1,801$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3d32backed 76ers50c1,778$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb74…fc5abacked Bulls50c1,634$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls49c1,621$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.31,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb3…1ab0backed Bulls50c1,578$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21df…b73cbacked 76ers50c1,444$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7224100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.