TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,013 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c44,118$22,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,638.4720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under49c28,829$14,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,126.3919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…34babacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036f…5305backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.859159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under51c8,498$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.9831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,732$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.451,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c6,160$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c5,332$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.8625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under50c5,140$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5703941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c4,800$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over51c4,196$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.0812341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c3,827$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under50c3,036$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5184535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under50c2,158$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under50c2,112$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under50c2,096$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c1,727$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.421,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,439$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c1,374$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.981,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,300$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e8…45c4backed Over50c1,238$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6193100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+159.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1650…cad9backed Over50c1,236$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd52…577bbacked Over50c1,210$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6054100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+111.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c1,207$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.32,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c1,200$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.61,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…611cbacked Under50c902$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under49c854.25$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.844362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf303…5847backed Under50c792.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c585.22$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c519.27$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25521049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under50c399$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c371.53$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c353.53$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5333251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Under8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14119435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under46c295.91$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.321,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c267.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.293,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c213.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.63,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over52c191.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.032864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over69c163.94$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c147.61$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c143$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.225138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over48c87.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6242153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over49c85.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over50c83.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1422454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c80.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under49c79.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Under49c78.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4816948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Under52c77.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4638…aa0ebacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over50c72.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4638853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c66.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7387744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over53c66.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.426250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under49c60.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5316046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c59.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.982,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8222249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c46.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.582,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2251946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…d708backed Under47c34.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.072962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1641backed Under50c30.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.638048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under49c27.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6420049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…f816backed Under52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under50c24.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3612055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under52c23.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Under50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…8a76backed Over51c22.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.145757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ba…1a8fbacked Under52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under49c21.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4723453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108360.2%50 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45f1…0075backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c54…476dbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over54c19.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over52c19.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1614471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.