NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f12c9b079b262201202e4069211c5c2d0027b06cc4f8f9c7cbbe9b216d314ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,013 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 44,118$22,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,638.47 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 49c | 28,829$14,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,126.39 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…34babacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…5305backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.85 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 51c | 8,498$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.98 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 7,732$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.45 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 6,160$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 50c | 5,332$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.86 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Under | 50c | 5,140$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,800$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 4,196$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.08 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 3,827$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 50c | 3,036$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 50c | 2,158$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 50c | 2,112$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 50c | 2,096$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,727$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,439$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 1,374$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.98 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,300$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…45c4backed Over | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cad9backed Over | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…577bbacked Over | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 1,207$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 1,200$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Under | 50c | 902$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 49c | 854.25$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Under | 50c | 792.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 585.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 519.27$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.53 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 371.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 353.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 46c | 295.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 267.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 213.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 52c | 191.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 163.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 147.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 48c | 87.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 49c | 85.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 50c | 83.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 49c | 80.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 49c | 79.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 49c | 78.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 52c | 77.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4638…aa0ebacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 50c | 72.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 66.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Over | 53c | 66.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 49c | 60.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 59.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 46.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…d708backed Under | 47c | 34.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Under | 50c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 49c | 27.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…f816backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 23.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Over | 51c | 22.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…1a8fbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 49c | 21.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…0075backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c54…476dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 54c | 19.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 52c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 253.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 261.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 277.5Over won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-17.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.