TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Paul George: Points O/U 15.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes56c1,686$952 inWon+$733.741,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No43c1,500$650 inLost-$65079650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed No37c1,162$430 inLost-$429.938160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes63c704.42$444 inWon+$260.5465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No55c200$110 inLost-$1105,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked No45c200$90 inLost-$902937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked No35c179.26$63 inLost-$63.2115651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed No42c171.85$73 inLost-$7352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes63c140$89 inWon+$51.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Yes63c103.17$65 inWon+$38.1715357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes55c100$55 inWon+$4540053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes45c100$45 inWon+$551,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes63c100$63 inWon+$3795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Yes64c100$64 inWon+$36.54637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes58c67.12$39 inWon+$28.1989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f23…6d15backed Yes63c63.32$40 inWon+$23.433050%15 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Yes65c40$26 inWon+$14.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes57c40$23 inWon+$17.230256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x376d…bc1bbacked Yes65c30.76$20 inWon+$10.779869.4%68 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes65c30$20 inWon+$10.590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed No36c30$11 inLost-$10.85731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes65c18.5$12 inWon+$6.471,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.