NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 116.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a82eae2a445b2ec55e4780b0eaf831e3d1188610542f7602eb819cba146e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 54c | 3,994$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.24 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 3,033$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.79 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 888.66$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.1 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 224.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 52c | 98.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 55c | 81.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 45c | 58.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 46c | 55.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 52c | 52.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 48c | 31.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 52c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Over | 71c | 14.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 116.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 253.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 261.5Over won
- Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 277.5Over won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-17.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.