TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,413 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Over52c2,995$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c2,931$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.051,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c2,777$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under48c2,385$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.811543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,799$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c980.09$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over58c598.01$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9213441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Under49c586$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.146946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c492.66$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over51c475.73$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.431,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under48c470.6$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.892744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c396.61$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.712,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c312.35$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.051,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over53c310$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.720846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c307.48$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.123,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c288.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Under22c286.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4210849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over54c272.46$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.335269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c267.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.932,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under46c200.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.138242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under50c200.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c197.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under48c190.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.061,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Under50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9514155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over77c186$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.787154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1917758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under49c184.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.585538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under51c162.07$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed Over54c158.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.952263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c131.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Under47c127.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.983542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under13c120.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under46c116.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over53c113.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2110850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57f…59b9backed Under49c106.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.05650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under46c104.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0660945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e3…2cc2backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under50c100.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c98.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c98.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c96.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under35c80.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over50c79.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9342153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under48c71.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4817848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c69.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c66.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…0d12backed Over52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.682556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c77…55a4backed Under48c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.683548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under47c63.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c59.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5923651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b8…5b9cbacked Under58c58.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9560%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over54c56.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.282568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa1…bd9bbacked Under48c47.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.972552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c47.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.983,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over53c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4624044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under25c45.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under47c45.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3215849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c44.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.225,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Under39c38.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.343531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Over56c38.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.973775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under47c37.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.561,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b68backed Over54c37.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…6b2abacked Over55c36.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc2…9aa3backed Over55c32.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.493151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x190a…7d2cbacked Over55c32.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over72c31.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7ff…55f2backed Over52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c28.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over54c27.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8754854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Over53c27.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9311058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c25.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under48c23.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3352552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Under55c23.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8714154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over59c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over53c20.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46c1…2ba9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…fe1dbacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over61c17.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.