South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8660a96c490dabafa67322a16917456eb43c9960aa828a293d20569b6cfbc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 7,164$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 42c | 2,695$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.49 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 1,380$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 843.51$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 37c | 810$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 63c | 697.62$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 695.8$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 38c | 655.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 54c | 553.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 438.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 399.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 359.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 348.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 333.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 79c | 303.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 290.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 41c | 232.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 219.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 38c | 202.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed Over | 65c | 201.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 79c | 198.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Under | 39c | 193.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 61c | 154.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 62c | 153.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…267ebacked Over | 70c | 151.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…8434backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Under | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Under | 35c | 99.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 40c | 90.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 84.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 79.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 61c | 79.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 78.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 32c | 66.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…1100backed Over | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x647c…a772backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 68c | 57.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…da18backed Under | 36c | 57.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 38c | 56.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…3185backed Over | 78c | 51.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Under | 40c | 48.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Under | 34c | 47.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…946fbacked Over | 41c | 38.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 55c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…14a9backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 45c | 24.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 61c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 61c | 22.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 64c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…c802backed Over | 63c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.