South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5103cfdd440c791a0f246ec60f268eed2d1cf6829d92e9daad562f1f62b59f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 5,847$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 32c | 4,948$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.44 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 33c | 936.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.92 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 539.9$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 39c | 515.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 21c | 393.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 237.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 34c | 219.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 78c | 207$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…bd53backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 117.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…8434backed Over | 23c | 108.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 19c | 85.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 81.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 19c | 61.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 60.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 58.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 29c | 56.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 51.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 55c | 51.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Under | 68c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…2139backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…34efbacked Under | 68c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.