Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f4e35f5779045bb3edab874ebcbe28974ffb8ec6338462c59f3afaaca93c4e7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,274 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	70c	11,142$7,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,317.44	193	40.9%79 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	23c	6,009$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.68	2,499	42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L	+52.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	47c	4,162$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,942.94	825	42.4%350 W · 475 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over	18c	3,815$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.23	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Under	47c	3,198$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,697.56	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	39c	3,147$1,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.93	968	46.1%446 W · 522 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…dd03backed Under	68c	3,099$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	34c	2,662$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.44	5,910	46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L	+50.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over	8c	2,023$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.32	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	40c	1,614$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.51	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over	72c	1,200$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.23	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over	32c	965.04$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.57	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	60c	837.19$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.4	1,101	49.7%547 W · 554 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Over	17c	765.92$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.96	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over	5c	707.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	52c	596.82$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.3	116	31%36 W · 80 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under	67c	499.99$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under	66c	451.77$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.77	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	80c	416.84$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.37	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over	33c	405$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.57	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	38c	330.76$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under	73c	330$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.29	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	10c	326.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	344	47.4%163 W · 181 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	61c	307$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.73	197	53.8%106 W · 91 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over	33c	298.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.7	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	59c	244.67$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.35	1,707	50.6%863 W · 844 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	62c	228.59$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.85	1,434	35.2%505 W · 929 L	-36.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	45c	225.71$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.57	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over	29c	222$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.38	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Under	68c	218.13$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.53	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Under	65c	200.52$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.52	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Under	68c	190.07$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.82	162	50.6%82 W · 80 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	15c	186.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	424	25.9%110 W · 314 L	-32.7wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa8e…72a2backed Over	29c	177.93$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over	62c	169.35$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over	62c	160$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over	24c	157$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	150	68%102 W · 48 L	+16.7wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	21c	156.74$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.53	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	33c	142.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.84	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adc…308ebacked Over	24c	135.42$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	71c	134.13$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.9	261	36.8%96 W · 165 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	35c	133.16$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	189	55%104 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over	45c	116$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Over	11c	100.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+281.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	33c	98.06$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.42	1,959	54.6%1,069 W · 890 L	+36.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over	53c	93.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	25	76%19 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	66c	81.44$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.55	1,306	56.9%743 W · 563 L	+67.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x087b…5f0ebacked Under	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Over	47c	59.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	24c	58.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	273	38.8%106 W · 167 L	-14.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	101	40.6%41 W · 60 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88e3…6613backed Under	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under	76c	49.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Over	62c	48.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over	62c	44.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over	33c	44.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	37c	43.81$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.46	363	52.9%192 W · 171 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under	38c	42$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.04	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	31c	41.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	371	53.9%200 W · 171 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Under	39c	40.54$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.81	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cd…2c85backed Over	63c	39.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.12	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under	79c	38.82$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.02	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	68cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	39c	38.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over	72c	34.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	60cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over	34c	32.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over	61c	30.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c2…be4dbacked Over	61c	24.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under	67c	24.36$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	46c	24.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	166	59.6%99 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	53c	22.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4bf…2ccdbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	61c	19.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	390	58.2%227 W · 163 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event