Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7453466521ed6a2ef40639e620f9c681d502ea0eb8b04600350dd22162330f6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 4,490$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 33c | 3,391$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.4 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 2,979$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked Under | 55c | 2,325$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 45c | 2,236$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.41 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 9c | 1,564$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 1,345$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Under | 40c | 1,283$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 2c | 1,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 11c | 805.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 762.66$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.22 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 38c | 692.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.98 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Under | 7c | 669.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Under | 5c | 666.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 54c | 608.32$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +11.0wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 63c | 578.71$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 19c | 532.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 36c | 375.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 360.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 15c | 307.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 15c | 305$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 35c | 291.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 279.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…547cbacked Under | 8c | 195.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 9c | 180.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 65c | 179.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 9c | 168.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 79c | 141.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 67c | 136.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 77c | 130.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 17c | 129.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 69c | 113.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 43c | 109$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 76c | 107.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 18c | 100.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 50c | 99.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 13c | 98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Under | 20c | 83.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Over | 37c | 82.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…f59bbacked Over | 22c | 78.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 44c | 73.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 16c | 65.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 73c | 61.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 51c | 61.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 73c | 59.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 60c | 51.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…6613backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 49.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 76c | 43.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Over | 41c | 42.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 61c | 34.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 52c | 34.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Over | 47c | 25.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Under | 62c | 25.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 75c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…2ccdbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 75c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…383dbacked Over | 74c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.