Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ae77533886e82acefa7d855bc49c07a45dfa1edd0f0ff9a7bc418de7632181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 7c | 3,132$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.52 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 2,567$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 2,155$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 1c | 1,848$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 405.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 76c | 203.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 109.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…7977backed Under | 80c | 73.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…0721backed Under | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 78c | 49.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…32fcbacked Under | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Under | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 79c | 25.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 80c | 18.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 80c | 18.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.