Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd268a505740c74d5b691cc30660d770f6e36896e9c43c193039fcf6b8b04b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalian Yingbo FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 55c | 2,485$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 47c | 1,969$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.36 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 53c | 1,173$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 13c | 870.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 45c | 860.6$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 832.07$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 8c | 661.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 55c | 579.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.72 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 48c | 388.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 46c | 353.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 48c | 290.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 18c | 183.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…0f10backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…72a2backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 15c | 95.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 72c | 87.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 50c | 68.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 73c | 51.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 49c | 49.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 48c | 28.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 52c | 22.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.