Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c88280742ddfb163c8f37696691f71792a133a22e60a9e359a658957925a16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 2c | 9,140$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 76c | 4,706$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.99 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 3c | 3,093$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 2,724$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 20c | 2,397$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.67 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 1,883$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 4c | 1,848$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 49c | 890.91$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 62c | 694.63$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.96 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…4bc7backed Over | 48c | 413.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 316.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…547cbacked Over | 4c | 276.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 259.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 7c | 201$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 188.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Over | 8c | 154.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 60c | 118.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…1636backed Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 23c | 87.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 67.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 60c | 65.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 75c | 65.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 70c | 58.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 39c | 58.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 39c | 52.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 60c | 50.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 53c | 49.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 34c | 48.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 40c | 30.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 39c | 30.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…172abacked Over | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 64c | 29.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 53c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 71c | 18.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.