Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c5661783323af3fad941d8cdbb29e898a7e74f04e9c066a7e68285862705a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 50c | 1,897$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.27 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 50c | 905.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 18c | 759.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 2c | 678.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 372.68$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 62c | 145.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 142.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 38c | 89.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 46c | 66.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 52c | 58.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 48c | 58.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…1471backed Under | 65c | 56.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 49c | 50.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adc…308ebacked Over | 25c | 48.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…72a2backed Over | 24c | 45.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…c314backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 51c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 51c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.