Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e3e3fab6e2b24be16f399fbfd24a41fda94e2a2bfbdef31c724e1c56ac864e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 31c | 3,790$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.63 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 67c | 1,140$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.14 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 940.15$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 67c | 456.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 277$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 72c | 272.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Over | 9c | 229.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 71c | 196.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 73c | 180.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 117.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 63c | 94.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 64c | 88.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 74c | 80.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Over | 76c | 68.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 26c | 63.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 73c | 59.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over | 68c | 47.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 68c | 31.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Over | 73c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…c4cebacked Over | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.