Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337d1126c7f47933871a1cec3fb06cdf4fc7084e72705ef7c5e6c62ec0439136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,048 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 9,275$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 43c | 2,799$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.4 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 2,718$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.22 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 53c | 1,937$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.36 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 1,639$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Under | 49c | 1,594$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 46c | 1,176$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.04 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 55c | 1,078$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Over | 54c | 856$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 841.05$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 54c | 777$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.44 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 664.25$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.84 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 55c | 545.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…aacbbacked Over | 52c | 531.44$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 507.34$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 507$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 403.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 54c | 324.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 320.48$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 286.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 286.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 269.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 249.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 53c | 186.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 53c | 167.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 27c | 165.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…86bdbacked Under | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…5a05backed Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 123.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 55c | 118.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 48c | 101.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 96.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 54c | 92.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…b090backed Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 62c | 86.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…22d6backed Under | 54c | 81.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 46c | 80.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 68.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 44c | 64.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Over | 52c | 61.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…f99dbacked Over | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 46c | 54.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 56c | 54.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 44c | 53.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 47c | 51.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 59c | 47.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Over | 55c | 44.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 49c | 43.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 47c | 42.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 47c | 42.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 52c | 41.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…7affbacked Over | 50c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Over | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…8792backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 37.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…6e13backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 55c | 36.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 52c | 35.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…7b2ebacked Under | 50c | 35.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 33.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 48c | 32.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked Under | 48c | 32.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 32.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 31.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…ea12backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…92d2backed Over | 52c | 27.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Over | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 48c | 26.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under | 49c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 47c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…c2bbbacked Over | 52c | 23.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.