South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4ad9ca95b1452baf675fc3543ddb028c14ecf9966260cd67e387acb67380c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,324 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 16,056$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.94 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 9,837$7,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.81 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 5,273$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 26c | 4,786$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.36 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 3,150$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.68 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 2,557$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.33 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 1,999$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 1,480$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.93 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,258$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 916$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Yes | 24c | 429.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Yes | 24c | 423$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 397$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 73c | 384.42$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 73c | 379$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 243.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 236.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed No | 76c | 184.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 177.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 73c | 166$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 162.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 74c | 157.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 150.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 145$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 135.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 130.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 75c | 120.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 101.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 11c | 97.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 83.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 83.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 16c | 76.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 71.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 75c | 66.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 52.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…53aabacked Yes | 25c | 51.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828a…ec2fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 49.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 76c | 47.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 75c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 78c | 45.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 77c | 44.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 74c | 28.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 76c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed No | 79c | 25.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 76c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed No | 75c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked No | 79c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.