South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb736601a522c814bfbecc2fd367dd1339ff2a8d1a967dcbf34ac3b19ade27c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,498 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 6,954$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.73 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,204$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,151$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,059$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 734.01$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 721$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 50c | 689$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.44 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 27c | 524.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.59 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 426.8$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 302.39$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.78 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 74c | 221.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 218.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 28c | 210$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 179.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 53c | 161$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 161$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 149$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 127$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 102.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes | 20c | 97.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 60c | 95.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 92.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 51c | 67.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 26c | 63.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…04bbbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 27c | 53.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 52.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 32c | 52.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 50.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 48.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 47.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 45.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 25c | 45.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 23c | 44.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 37.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.