La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c1d5a3fcec5cf7ab07158a4e3184860b63719851d16d8bca436a4d4ac566dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5447…1236backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…b94bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85a…3263backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…d0bfbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Under | 50c | 8,409$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 6,454$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.05 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 50c | 2,892$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 2,625$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.19 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,811$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.89 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,339$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 43c | 1,060$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…cef9backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 936.91$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 735.39$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 588.13$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.88 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 431.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.82 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 39c | 423.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.08 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 360.04$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 344.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 50c | 332.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 321$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 49c | 319.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 50c | 293$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 73c | 280.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 52c | 276.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 50c | 262$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 49c | 247.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 50c | 233$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 54c | 224$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 215.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…15fbbacked Over | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 51c | 188.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 50c | 180.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 178.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 178.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…c871backed Under | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88e…4383backed Under | 50c | 160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 158.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Under | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 65c | 154.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 50c | 137.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 23c | 118$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 104.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 50c | 88.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…4e3bbacked Over | 39c | 86.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 24c | 81.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 21c | 75.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51e…441abacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 49c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…5f4dbacked Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…0eb5backed Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 52c | 69.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe146…620fbacked Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…9371backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 50c | 50.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 41c | 47.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 45c | 46.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 45.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 73c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…5696backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.