La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3daef04fe167c0df3ad80842c1156ca2890052081a6f78c7764df328ad59abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,845 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,896$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.94 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 69c | 1,445$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.59 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 65c | 1,020$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 962.68$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…cef9backed Over | 74c | 945.95$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 76c | 736.84$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 639.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 24c | 569.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 13c | 379.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 24c | 350.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 346$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 26c | 343.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 275.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 215.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 67c | 159.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 76c | 149.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…ab92backed Over | 75c | 137.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Over | 74c | 134.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 72.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 67.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 75c | 42.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 76c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.