La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddd0c670927bf31699efd64679e45fd04e97bfa8b2a84ab10581f20d1880b9a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,838 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,116$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 2,146$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.48 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,917$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 1,361$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.21 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 46c | 999.98$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 54c | 739.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 49c | 699.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 34c | 660.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.02 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…ae94backed Yes | 55c | 631.73$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 46c | 542.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 59c | 539.22$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 50c | 389.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 59c | 285.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 229.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 200.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…8dfabacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 53c | 179.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 38c | 171.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 52c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 52c | 151.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 122.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 115.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 112.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 36c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 47c | 86.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 52c | 75.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 70.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 76c | 70.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 48c | 46.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed No | 50c | 38.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 29.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Yes | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7d…6c28backed No | 63c | 25.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 64c | 24.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 22.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 55c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2f…fe5abacked No | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.