La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b127eeb2e22dd2cb62441623ad2eb73ecd2c171e7e5c8d3b071865a48b05ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Real Sociedad de Fútbol, CA Osasuna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Osasuna | 55c | 391.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…b07bbacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 308.21$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…12b6backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 308.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 298.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 257.38$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 71c | 227.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 24c | 226.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 147.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed CA Osasuna | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Osasuna | 40c | 110.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked CA Osasuna | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 66c | 95.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 82.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 25c | 71.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 25c | 68.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 26c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 27c | 60.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CA Osasuna | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed CA Osasuna | 27c | 54.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked CA Osasuna | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed CA Osasuna | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.