Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd563d519d92455f563693e3f41bd581f0b954670de4430082302392665cf1b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,151 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Under | 51c | 117,552$60,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,100.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 48c | 45,581$21,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,879.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 49c | 24,988$12,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,145.75 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 45c | 21,898$9,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,904.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 49c | 19,796$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 19,237$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.62 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Over | 49c | 16,316$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 42c | 12,327$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.2 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Over | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over | 49c | 8,555$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 6,190$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.17 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…157dbacked Over | 49c | 4,784$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 52c | 3,972$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 24c | 3,000$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.44 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.84 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 2,769$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.91 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 49c | 2,481$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 52c | 1,758$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 1,558$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.74 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 588$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 52c | 559.87$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.14 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 20c | 482.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Over | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 69c | 433.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 404.2$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 63c | 402.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 400.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 49c | 390.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 39c | 365.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 360$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 43c | 349.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 49c | 306.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 43c | 296.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 72c | 276.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 262.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 62c | 261$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 243.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 48c | 240.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 239.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 16c | 219.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 201$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 62c | 195$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 54c | 189.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…7b9dbacked Over | 47c | 179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…cc0abacked Over | 47c | 174$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 27c | 168.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…9196backed Over | 47c | 165$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b16…40c5backed Over | 47c | 165$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 57c | 161.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 38c | 160.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 11c | 149.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…1b00backed Over | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 142.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 142.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…0045backed Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 54c | 137.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…ff00backed Over | 46c | 116.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…4f43backed Under | 55c | 111.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…7ca1backed Under | 55c | 106.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…15aebacked Over | 46c | 101.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.