Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a86ba7bd1587bccbe004aa4546a40b1b2cce4e4b9ecbf533804d202c8d2bb8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,423 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 3,923$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 3,380$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.09 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 575.83$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 383.56$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 198.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 44c | 146$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 61c | 115.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 53c | 63.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 58c | 57.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…e61cbacked No | 47c | 52.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Yes | 46c | 52.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 59c | 31.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked Yes | 59c | 31.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 46c | 21.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 59c | 21.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 21.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.