NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa590a82fadc7e5d798e19c6381adbfd7778c79ba30ebc570f94259be1192a525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,276 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 51c | 193,949$98,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,876.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Warriors | 49c | 181,744$89,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,085.88 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 52c | 102,732$53,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,140.86 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 50c | 56,073$28,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,033.71 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…396dbacked Pistons | 48c | 27,492$13,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,245.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 49c | 17,187$8,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,706.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 52c | 16,900$8,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,788 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 52c | 16,499$8,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,579.28 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 51c | 13,102$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Warriors | 49c | 10,953$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.43 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Pistons | 48c | 9,602$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.96 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Pistons | 49c | 8,980$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.59 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…fb17backed Pistons | 48c | 8,331$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Pistons | 49c | 7,293$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.34 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.83 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Warriors | 51c | 7,070$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.7 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Pistons | 49c | 6,992$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.84 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 49c | 6,198$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 50c | 5,992$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 50c | 5,882$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.61 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Pistons | 48c | 5,790$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.8 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,147$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.27 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…beaabacked Warriors | 51c | 4,601$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a56cbacked Warriors | 52c | 4,478$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe543…024abacked Pistons | 48c | 4,388$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Warriors | 53c | 4,363$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.39 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…405abacked Warriors | 51c | 4,320$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 57c | 4,246$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43d…e4e6backed Warriors | 51c | 4,202$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…0ad5backed Warriors | 51c | 4,141$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…8ea4backed Warriors | 52c | 4,078$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…3f26backed Warriors | 51c | 4,066$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…2a0ebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,001$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab48…d7abbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,956$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pistons | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 49c | 3,854$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…b8c7backed Warriors | 52c | 3,766$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…92cabacked Warriors | 51c | 3,683$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Warriors | 49c | 3,631$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.36 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…1752backed Warriors | 52c | 3,605$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…ccf3backed Warriors | 51c | 3,602$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…fe84backed Warriors | 51c | 3,511$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 48c | 3,472$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.56 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…38e1backed Warriors | 52c | 3,465$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…f9f5backed Pistons | 48c | 3,456$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…4654backed Warriors | 51c | 3,455$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…3717backed Warriors | 51c | 3,404$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…24d5backed Warriors | 51c | 3,388$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…cfa3backed Warriors | 51c | 3,347$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…9834backed Warriors | 51c | 3,313$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Warriors | 52c | 3,250$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.9 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…8417backed Warriors | 51c | 3,209$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Pistons | 49c | 3,131$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.2 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…e4aebacked Warriors | 51c | 3,131$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9a…b8e1backed Warriors | 51c | 3,112$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…09e2backed Warriors | 51c | 3,004$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…4fd2backed Warriors | 51c | 3,002$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…04adbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,989$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…e531backed Warriors | 52c | 2,965$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…c43abacked Warriors | 51c | 2,955$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…924ebacked Warriors | 51c | 2,944$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pistons | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…7797backed Pistons | 48c | 2,877$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3d39backed Warriors | 51c | 2,801$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 48c | 2,759$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.33 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…9f9dbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,728$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,622$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…12f1backed Pistons | 49c | 2,592$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…0646backed Warriors | 52c | 2,488$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Warriors | 49c | 2,477$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.39 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…8560backed Pistons | 48c | 2,456$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…6ac1backed Warriors | 52c | 2,456$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83e…b871backed Pistons | 49c | 2,423$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869d…41a9backed Warriors | 52c | 2,420$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…e66cbacked Pistons | 49c | 2,406$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…0af6backed Pistons | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Pistons | 49c | 2,382$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.63 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…cdb4backed Warriors | 51c | 2,368$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…6ca0backed Pistons | 49c | 2,344$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…413cbacked Pistons | 49c | 2,241$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…2a73backed Pistons | 49c | 2,241$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…6b20backed Pistons | 49c | 2,239$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9092…1000backed Pistons | 49c | 2,238$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…fc3bbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,233$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…40eabacked Pistons | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…7661backed Pistons | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Warriors | 50c | 2,213$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.28 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09e…e291backed Pistons | 49c | 2,202$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…4c21backed Pistons | 49c | 2,077$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…802bbacked Pistons | 49c | 2,066$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…5976backed Pistons | 49c | 2,066$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…2968backed Warriors | 52c | 2,060$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde15…8998backed Pistons | 49c | 2,049$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdd…f504backed Pistons | 49c | 2,045$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Warriors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.