NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1791c9e6431ba92e3aaebb537bd00d989e192cca9bc80c576c2d8aa8d7f17da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 27,080$13,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,874.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 25,627$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 48c | 17,135$8,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,910.42 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 16,184$7,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,756.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 50c | 12,041$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.9 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 47c | 11,669$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,175.15 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…1236backed Under | 50c | 10,001$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…88bcbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 53c | 8,834$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.22 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 47c | 7,560$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.62 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Under | 47c | 5,760$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.79 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 5,450$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.82 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 5,450$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 47c | 5,398$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.24 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 5,295$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…55c9backed Under | 50c | 4,601$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 73c | 4,359$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.34 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…3c2fbacked Under | 50c | 4,216$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd2…35a0backed Under | 50c | 3,982$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 3,813$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…89d6backed Under | 70c | 3,600$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…ff4ebacked Under | 50c | 3,202$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0e92backed Over | 50c | 3,126$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…2aa8backed Over | 49c | 2,999$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…2801backed Under | 50c | 2,988$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…4922backed Under | 51c | 2,967$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f3…9e04backed Over | 50c | 2,964$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…9526backed Over | 49c | 2,957$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd3…a174backed Over | 50c | 2,896$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…501cbacked Under | 50c | 2,881$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…1ea4backed Over | 50c | 2,871$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…0ab3backed Under | 51c | 2,842$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b97…bed1backed Under | 51c | 2,828$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…2cebbacked Over | 49c | 2,795$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…8cf0backed Under | 50c | 2,765$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…b892backed Under | 50c | 2,714$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3649…adc0backed Under | 51c | 2,709$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…bdfcbacked Under | 50c | 2,683$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…071cbacked Under | 51c | 2,673$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…7437backed Under | 50c | 2,636$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 53c | 2,610$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.3 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…9f06backed Under | 50c | 2,602$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 51c | 2,562$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.68 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…b0cfbacked Over | 49c | 2,552$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…9832backed Over | 49c | 2,544$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca57…8c94backed Over | 49c | 2,532$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09e…714abacked Over | 50c | 2,526$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…6ed8backed Over | 50c | 2,525$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…858cbacked Over | 50c | 2,519$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 50c | 2,506$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…82f8backed Over | 50c | 2,505$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d26…c0d5backed Over | 50c | 2,479$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…6582backed Over | 50c | 2,456$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…aaeebacked Over | 50c | 2,430$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…4f9cbacked Over | 50c | 2,415$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…0af6backed Under | 50c | 2,405$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Under | 72c | 2,402$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.15 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…a43dbacked Over | 50c | 2,378$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…6ca0backed Under | 50c | 2,369$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…1d1cbacked Under | 51c | 2,360$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 66c | 2,350$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.69 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…4c21backed Under | 50c | 2,336$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…f1bcbacked Under | 50c | 2,329$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 2,313$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…9b2fbacked Under | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…2e6abacked Over | 50c | 2,232$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…437fbacked Under | 50c | 2,225$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…15bfbacked Over | 50c | 2,221$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175f…65c6backed Over | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…bea1backed Under | 50c | 2,189$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…802bbacked Over | 50c | 2,188$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…c5afbacked Under | 50c | 2,187$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0c…3fd1backed Under | 50c | 2,169$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…945abacked Under | 50c | 2,169$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…7663backed Under | 50c | 2,158$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0dc3backed Over | 50c | 2,153$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…98c8backed Over | 50c | 2,153$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…e395backed Over | 50c | 2,145$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd9…2b5ebacked Over | 50c | 2,142$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2804…01edbacked Over | 50c | 2,139$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…c935backed Under | 50c | 2,136$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7893…17babacked Under | 50c | 2,118$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1b…13d0backed Under | 50c | 2,117$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…7aabbacked Over | 50c | 2,103$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…2b39backed Over | 50c | 2,097$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…8d4dbacked Under | 50c | 2,096$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…0a3dbacked Over | 50c | 2,072$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…071dbacked Over | 50c | 2,069$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026f…cddcbacked Over | 50c | 2,052$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07f…3f50backed Over | 50c | 2,044$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 30c | 2,036$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Over | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…1adcbacked Under | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Warriors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.