TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,045 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23c8…f293backed Warriors46c31,790$14,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,623.3728643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Pistons54c31,223$16,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,362.5829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons53c22,338$11,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,604.151,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons54c16,311$8,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,503.0634851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Warriors46c14,811$6,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,813.0116039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons52c11,939$6,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Warriors43c10,939$4,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6991526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors47c10,887$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.884,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors45c6,793$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Warriors47c6,587$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.896651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons57c4,935$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4843…13c5backed Warriors47c4,755$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Warriors47c4,537$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.2124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons52c4,453$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.162,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a6…0228backed Warriors47c4,133$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fd…6d24backed Pistons53c4,065$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pistons55c3,899$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.321,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…1b1dbacked Warriors47c3,788$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Warriors47c3,740$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.85843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors47c3,656$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors49c3,543$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.1138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a6…5999backed Pistons53c3,455$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b11…1560backed Pistons53c3,154$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85f1…a96ebacked Pistons53c3,056$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14e…2c26backed Pistons53c2,897$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34e…6acebacked Pistons53c2,893$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95c…222abacked Pistons53c2,790$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…ab85backed Pistons53c2,620$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors47c2,570$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…9f4ebacked Pistons53c2,553$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09e…e291backed Pistons53c2,552$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f77…bdd9backed Pistons53c2,551$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e5…5701backed Warriors47c2,535$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2716…071dbacked Pistons53c2,535$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8729…15c0backed Pistons53c2,533$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b9…e66cbacked Warriors47c2,516$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dcc…b8fabacked Warriors47c2,515$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc2…4d25backed Pistons53c2,515$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071c…d24dbacked Warriors47c2,515$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd83e…b871backed Warriors47c2,514$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66c…4f9cbacked Warriors47c2,510$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9092…1000backed Warriors47c2,466$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb44…0337backed Pistons52c2,448$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacdd…f504backed Warriors48c2,414$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d70…7833backed Warriors47c2,365$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cc…7b67backed Pistons53c2,361$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f6…2a73backed Warriors47c2,344$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb851…413cbacked Warriors47c2,332$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…3d6ebacked Pistons53c2,325$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7584…2e6abacked Warriors47c2,323$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb8…50bfbacked Warriors47c2,322$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c79…6b20backed Warriors47c2,316$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7f…632dbacked Warriors47c2,314$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b77…7661backed Warriors47c2,313$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c77…40eabacked Warriors47c2,312$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b3…efa3backed Pistons53c2,267$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe820…0e9ebacked Pistons53c2,233$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd7…7d5fbacked Pistons52c2,216$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1482…fd18backed Warriors48c2,215$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…5976backed Warriors47c2,214$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07f…3f50backed Warriors47c2,211$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x026f…cddcbacked Warriors47c2,153$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors47c2,134$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f4…9255backed Pistons53c2,124$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de4…6582backed Pistons53c2,122$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde15…8998backed Warriors47c2,121$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d3…9299backed Pistons53c2,111$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7c…2744backed Warriors48c2,098$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors46c2,088$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.433,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1f…b59abacked Pistons53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Warriors48c2,071$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.9622643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x855c…be74backed Pistons53c2,066$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db6…3aeabacked Pistons52c2,065$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f8…702bbacked Warriors47c2,052$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b8…1719backed Pistons52c2,041$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48d7…5f13backed Pistons53c2,024$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…86cebacked Pistons53c2,015$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91e…2aa5backed Pistons53c2,011$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…f7b8backed Warriors47c2,010$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a47…2ff5backed Warriors48c2,003$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa55…9b2fbacked Pistons53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b32…379fbacked Warriors47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de0…f418backed Pistons53c1,944$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3632…6956backed Warriors47c1,933$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe719…6327backed Warriors47c1,933$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ce…c935backed Pistons53c1,923$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0425…632abacked Warriors47c1,921$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e2…f23dbacked Warriors47c1,911$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f2…bfcebacked Warriors47c1,911$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b11…2aecbacked Warriors47c1,866$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…5fccbacked Pistons53c1,844$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4f…426ebacked Pistons53c1,844$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9178…60c0backed Pistons53c1,822$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc74…98cfbacked Pistons53c1,822$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x919e…9846backed Warriors47c1,820$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175f…65c6backed Pistons53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf3…7b13backed Pistons53c1,790$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb832…d1ecbacked Warriors47c1,788$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b12…fc1cbacked Warriors47c1,757$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.