NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29afbfcbf7db52fe7a5669a09c08493f5976b64bc53c789e58d0cbf821af55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,226 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 50c | 11,486$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.13 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 49c | 10,654$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.74 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 10,525$5,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.01 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 9,557$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 8,602$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 7,193$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…23b8backed Under | 53c | 4,601$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,220$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…67e3backed Under | 53c | 4,212$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…a2adbacked Under | 53c | 4,050$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5645…4ca6backed Under | 53c | 4,002$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…48b2backed Under | 53c | 3,933$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…d26dbacked Under | 53c | 3,715$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…54b4backed Under | 53c | 3,701$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…36f2backed Under | 53c | 3,478$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…e201backed Under | 53c | 3,458$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…7080backed Under | 53c | 3,256$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…471bbacked Under | 53c | 3,232$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…2481backed Under | 53c | 3,158$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Over | 48c | 2,983$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…77f5backed Under | 53c | 2,977$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d7…39bbbacked Under | 53c | 2,966$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 51c | 2,930$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.3 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…4f18backed Under | 53c | 2,825$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…c64abacked Over | 47c | 2,756$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dc…4e6dbacked Under | 53c | 2,668$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…8560backed Over | 47c | 2,526$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…02cebacked Over | 47c | 2,492$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…9ef7backed Over | 47c | 2,450$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e5…5701backed Over | 47c | 2,438$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…b6a0backed Under | 53c | 2,409$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcc…b8fabacked Over | 47c | 2,401$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…0b0fbacked Over | 47c | 2,383$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68be…bc27backed Under | 53c | 2,301$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…f92fbacked Over | 47c | 2,297$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…c604backed Over | 47c | 2,268$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…632dbacked Over | 47c | 2,266$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…cdb4backed Over | 47c | 2,260$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…50bfbacked Over | 47c | 2,244$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62a…5638backed Over | 47c | 2,232$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9f4ebacked Over | 47c | 2,231$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…6ac1backed Over | 47c | 2,230$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…a3f1backed Under | 53c | 2,223$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…15c0backed Over | 47c | 2,212$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc67…1379backed Under | 53c | 2,202$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…78d4backed Under | 53c | 2,202$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…21b8backed Over | 47c | 2,171$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…fc3bbacked Over | 47c | 2,133$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,106$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…78d8backed Over | 47c | 2,102$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf160…763abacked Under | 53c | 2,095$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…f3b2backed Under | 53c | 2,080$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…d3acbacked Over | 47c | 2,066$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…c8c2backed Under | 53c | 2,063$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…ddefbacked Over | 47c | 2,063$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…ab46backed Under | 53c | 2,056$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…130dbacked Under | 53c | 2,054$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…bdd9backed Over | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…43cebacked Under | 53c | 2,029$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3f8ebacked Under | 53c | 1,993$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…379dbacked Over | 47c | 1,969$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…4cbcbacked Over | 47c | 1,966$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…b039backed Over | 47c | 1,959$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d6…e8f1backed Under | 53c | 1,923$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…3bddbacked Over | 47c | 1,923$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…f7b8backed Over | 47c | 1,899$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…0646backed Over | 47c | 1,888$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…652ebacked Over | 47c | 1,866$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6f…14d0backed Over | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…0058backed Under | 53c | 1,833$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…97a5backed Under | 53c | 1,823$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 48c | 1,754$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…b235backed Under | 53c | 1,744$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…aab2backed Over | 47c | 1,731$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03a…cb72backed Over | 47c | 1,722$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…2aecbacked Over | 47c | 1,699$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b12…fc1cbacked Over | 47c | 1,639$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…ffbebacked Under | 53c | 1,601$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de0…f418backed Over | 47c | 1,601$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…99e0backed Over | 47c | 1,587$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…549cbacked Over | 47c | 1,578$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…5772backed Over | 47c | 1,525$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…4b48backed Over | 47c | 1,522$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 77c | 1,468$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.41 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…ba5dbacked Over | 47c | 1,450$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 52c | 1,433$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.94 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e3…1d9abacked Over | 47c | 1,425$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…60c0backed Over | 47c | 1,423$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Under | 50c | 1,421$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 51c | 1,322$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.57 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…7435backed Over | 47c | 1,266$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…b715backed Over | 47c | 1,192$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…c5b6backed Over | 47c | 1,192$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…a823backed Over | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Warriors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.