NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e4cf6616a3c88288452be2a639feabe26c40832bf68d0efe0453705ef531c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,037 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 15,049$7,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,503.13 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 45c | 14,784$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,131.19 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 9,409$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 45c | 7,280$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.1 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 5,770$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Over | 55c | 5,752$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.12 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…4975backed Over | 52c | 4,690$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0749…9e9dbacked Under | 48c | 4,588$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…6bb1backed Over | 52c | 4,325$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869e…8a02backed Under | 48c | 3,638$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…ca10backed Over | 52c | 3,587$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…af50backed Over | 52c | 3,536$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…8da1backed Over | 52c | 3,269$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…632bbacked Under | 48c | 2,594$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…379fbacked Under | 48c | 2,513$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…a3d0backed Over | 52c | 2,329$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…6fc3backed Over | 52c | 2,302$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb1…b982backed Over | 52c | 2,233$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466c…e633backed Under | 48c | 2,212$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 2,195$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.24 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0849backed Under | 48c | 2,185$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869d…41a9backed Under | 48c | 2,136$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 44c | 2,109$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.02 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.5 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155f…d044backed Under | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 64c | 1,984$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.87 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…2968backed Under | 48c | 1,956$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…cdd1backed Under | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…fde1backed Over | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…3a5fbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb832…d1ecbacked Over | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…2b80backed Under | 48c | 1,906$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…a006backed Over | 52c | 1,886$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f133backed Under | 48c | 1,871$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…e87cbacked Over | 52c | 1,823$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…7e77backed Over | 52c | 1,822$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…9846backed Under | 48c | 1,820$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…28edbacked Under | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…333ebacked Under | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Over | 56c | 1,787$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279f…280dbacked Over | 52c | 1,756$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 1,736$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.26 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda5…fbc9backed Over | 52c | 1,722$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…8ac6backed Under | 48c | 1,720$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,717$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…6d7ebacked Under | 48c | 1,688$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,651$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…69f9backed Over | 52c | 1,648$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…6b7ebacked Under | 48c | 1,636$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…80afbacked Under | 48c | 1,606$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…99dfbacked Under | 48c | 1,596$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…dab6backed Under | 48c | 1,584$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…8ecdbacked Over | 52c | 1,569$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…300cbacked Over | 52c | 1,433$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c29…8286backed Over | 52c | 1,406$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…546cbacked Over | 52c | 1,401$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd53…43f5backed Under | 48c | 1,368$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…c378backed Under | 48c | 1,314$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…6bfdbacked Over | 52c | 1,258$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…844ebacked Under | 48c | 988$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…8b59backed Over | 52c | 985$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 52c | 970$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 946.72$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 54c | 928.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 897.33$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 885.62$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 834.07$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 57c | 832.16$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…f632backed Over | 52c | 824$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…3001backed Under | 48c | 821$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…7833backed Under | 48c | 811.21$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…7797backed Under | 48c | 725$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…c972backed Under | 48c | 718$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…3f3ebacked Over | 52c | 712$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 710.41$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 666.68$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 650.85$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.95 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 603$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 56c | 536.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…42e7backed Under | 48c | 533$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 31c | 438.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 56c | 421.89$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 58c | 376.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 340.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 309.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 292.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 44c | 243.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 52c | 224.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 222.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 217$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 56c | 212.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 208.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1b43backed Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 194.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Warriors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.