Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227bc7d13dc487ad9881e1730b9914541a47d09101fe92f8ee8f4be0a0dbc15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,755 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 52c | 4,457$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.36 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,656$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 2,019$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 1,996$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.23 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.31 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 52c | 1,629$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.85 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,410$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 1,060$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.45 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 711.23$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 641.83$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 22c | 508.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 39c | 505.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 487.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 52c | 360.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 276.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 262.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 240.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 50c | 142.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 133.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 51c | 131.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 49c | 122.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 53c | 90.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 68.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 47c | 61.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 60.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 60.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 59.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 49c | 42.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 63c | 36.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 28.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 49c | 25.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 52c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked Under | 52c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.