Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45823832ba324513f81542354e01bda873e9390a87b8d20acf5f5d7e886c8848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,578 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4b2…429cbacked Over | 42c | 30,459$12,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,790.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 3,278$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 46c | 2,241$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.46$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.83 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 742.05$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.38 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 42c | 596.48$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 59c | 430$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 36c | 379.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 58c | 341.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 320.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 296.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 218.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 202.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 125.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 53c | 93.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 87.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 59c | 67.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d0…cb61backed Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1e49backed Under | 60c | 47.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 59c | 46.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 66c | 43.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 31c | 37.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 59c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 58c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ff2dbacked Under | 57c | 22.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 68c | 16.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 73c | 14.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Under | 80c | 13.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.