TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,695 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes45c42,282$18,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,302.925100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c21,326$11,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,755.8547748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c9,270$5,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,055.53,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No55c4,742$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.125149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No55c4,663$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.7115341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c2,843$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.9919073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c1,541$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.571,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No41c1,452$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.6339567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes45c1,432$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.5618967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c1,429$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes43c1,024$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes59c1,023$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.765232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes64c819.01$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.883831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes45c723$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No55c684$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.212451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c663.12$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7221545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No56c648.21$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c559.71$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.271,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yes45c363$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1316453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes63c351.31$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c335.75$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No45c315.42$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3926346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes43c291$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.432646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes59c245.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.942161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes42c239.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes44c227$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.191952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…dc13backed No55c215.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a5…ad6fbacked Yes46c196.84$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No46c180.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6419847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes45c179.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x423e…06f9backed Yes46c161.28$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c9…3aedbacked No55c143.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No52c141.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.715250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No16c133.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5237138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c129.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes79c128.52$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.74247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No56c128$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.684650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes42c119.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.68446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes42c108.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.125250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No51c107.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c8…c50abacked Yes43c92.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c79.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes46c75.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.812416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No46c72.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8131834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes46c70.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.153641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes45c65.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.814139%16 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes50c63.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6129370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed No55c55.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed No54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.248552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No39c52.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.315638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked No58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No56c50.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.255251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No38c50.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0824920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c50.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No49c49.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No55c49.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.449740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x795a…2befbacked No58c49.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No55c49.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No55c46.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6513950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No55c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed No55c43.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72c…ec8ebacked No58c42.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No57c40.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3110648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No35c39.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.824355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes68c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0128851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes43c35.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.043740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Yes43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes39c31.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.164951%25 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No55c30.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes52c25.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed No63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Yes42c24.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5985…a8cabacked No55c22.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…e9a6backed Yes63c21.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes70c20.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.223447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc208…cb5dbacked No55c19.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed No65c19.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.