Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e81865ef2d03a28083e809a3e3db50374703c7a12ac70a04666742559eaa5d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,106 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,256$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 2,203$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.86 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 73c | 1,152$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.75 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.52 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 673.45$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 77c | 495$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 422.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 281$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 63c | 265.14$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 38c | 253$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 219.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 183.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 57c | 168$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 57c | 163$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 156$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 113.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 15c | 107.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 60c | 99.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 27c | 83.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 23c | 75.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 45.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 44.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 44.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 78c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.