Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf38e0373ffffec69de54f5e82984a95f4f7e50f51d18d3ed84d1fafcd652c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,056 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 69c | 34,832$24,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,797.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 29,951$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.77 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 7,383$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.26 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked No | 68c | 6,717$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 5,674$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.24 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 17c | 1,759$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 1,526$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.17 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,206$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.86 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 26c | 1,095$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,060$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 31c | 958.26$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 73c | 950.44$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 815.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 17c | 603.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 499.98$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 366.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 365.5$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 26c | 350.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 33c | 339.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 70c | 328.84$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 24c | 324.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 321.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 32c | 312.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 22c | 309.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 271$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 255$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 249.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 32c | 167$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 164$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 27c | 154.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 148$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 147.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 33c | 127.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 33c | 121.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 103.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 31c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 33c | 100.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 31c | 96.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 94.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 66c | 81.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 31c | 70.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 67c | 65.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 31c | 62.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 31c | 61.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 33c | 60.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 34c | 59.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 51.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 48.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 31c | 48.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 47.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 42.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 64c | 33.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…1184backed Yes | 33c | 32.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 32.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 68c | 27.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 73c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 66c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?No won
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.