Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989b7c3500240b7d0fb0ab0da1ae99739d2ad33c6f764e20830fbcf0417bb7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Yes | 60c | 4,012$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 3,248$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 3,084$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.52 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 60c | 2,571$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed No | 43c | 2,509$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.79 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked No | 50c | 2,359$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,370$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.82 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 60c | 1,059$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…bde1backed Yes | 61c | 1,007$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 41c | 929.98$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.69 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 57c | 555.27$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 55c | 543.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Yes | 58c | 408.03$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 48c | 391.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 40c | 302.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 40c | 302.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 40c | 296.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 41c | 270.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 40c | 225.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 60c | 225$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Yes | 27c | 213.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 43c | 209.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 56c | 191.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 58c | 183.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 173.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 60c | 166.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 10c | 151.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 41c | 147.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Yes | 59c | 147.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 46c | 142.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 60c | 109.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…a489backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 73.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 54c | 72.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 54c | 72.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…7a37backed Yes | 42c | 71.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes | 60c | 62.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed No | 52c | 54.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Yes | 55c | 52.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…4e0cbacked Yes | 58c | 42.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 39.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 61c | 35.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yes | 54c | 34.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 40c | 30.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 41c | 30.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe4…fa32backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Portugal won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.