Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab3787507d9a6d7966af798eb195a9c5bcbe6d87f4a8100d4642490b28f680ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,015$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…a955backed Over | 68c | 2,558$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 63c | 2,099$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 32c | 2,052$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.36 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 1,910$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.28 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 55c | 1,768$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.62 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 36c | 1,225$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.96 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 1,211$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 53c | 1,120$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Under | 48c | 910$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 663.35$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 600.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 562.84$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.13 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 64c | 484.38$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Under | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 424.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 47c | 421$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.07 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 47c | 408.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 330.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 48c | 305.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 43c | 283.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 236.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Under | 44c | 228.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 200.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 52c | 195.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 53c | 189.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 170.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Over | 56c | 167.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…9480backed Under | 41c | 164$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…d7fdbacked Under | 39c | 163$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…4e59backed Under | 40c | 162$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…04f3backed Under | 40c | 162$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…c930backed Under | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…801cbacked Under | 41c | 157$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 49c | 147.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 45c | 137.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…3877backed Under | 40c | 133$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 49c | 132.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…b1b4backed Under | 40c | 126$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4240backed Under | 41c | 122$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 33c | 121.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…0090backed Under | 39c | 121$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…9dd1backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 118.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 64c | 117.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 114.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 44c | 104.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 45c | 102.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 39c | 100.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…bfaebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 42c | 94.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 94.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 64c | 89.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 60c | 83.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 82.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 61c | 82.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…cf25backed Over | 61c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 79.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…5706backed Over | 61c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418c…901abacked Over | 61c | 77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 64c | 74.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Under | 32c | 73.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 46c | 73.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…78f6backed Over | 61c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 64.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 64c | 63.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…5478backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…eea3backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 60c | 59.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…261abacked Over | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…49aabacked Over | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…f5a8backed Over | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…564cbacked Over | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…3085backed Over | 61c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…4134backed Over | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 55c | 50.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…a84ebacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 64c | 49.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 61c | 43.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 38c | 43.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 60c | 43.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…ed9ebacked Over | 61c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…2506backed Over | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 38c | 41.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…b3c3backed Over | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Portugal won
- United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.