Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96cce97e9945c7c7a988b6a998441e745d48a15a641e04494a86e70d1682c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Portugal, United States
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed United States | 66c | 2,450$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Portugal | 38c | 942$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked United States | 62c | 913.11$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.09 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Portugal | 25c | 880.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.47 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed United States | 65c | 801.84$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Portugal | 46c | 436.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Portugal | 36c | 403.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed United States | 31c | 379.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Portugal | 60c | 333.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Portugal | 35c | 285.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Portugal | 45c | 248.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed United States | 63c | 232.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Portugal | 31c | 211.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.09 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Portugal | 30c | 209.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Portugal | 33c | 201.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Portugal | 47c | 196.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Portugal | 47c | 181.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Portugal | 40c | 176.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed United States | 62c | 163.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Portugal | 46c | 163.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Portugal | 36c | 158.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed United States | 60c | 155.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Portugal | 51c | 153.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Portugal | 34c | 148.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Portugal | 38c | 134.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Portugal | 38c | 131.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…32d4backed Portugal | 37c | 130.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…4774backed Portugal | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed United States | 62c | 111.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed United States | 18c | 102.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Portugal | 39c | 98.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Portugal | 30c | 90.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Portugal | 36c | 83.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Portugal | 54c | 83.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Portugal | 34c | 72.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Portugal | 79c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Portugal | 34c | 66.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Portugal | 34c | 66.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Portugal | 34c | 66.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Portugal | 38c | 62.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Portugal | 24c | 57.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Portugal | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Portugal | 34c | 52.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Portugal | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Portugal | 35c | 44.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Portugal | 70c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed United States | 65c | 38.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed United States | 65c | 38.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Portugal | 48c | 35.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Portugal | 34c | 32.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Portugal | 34c | 30.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed United States | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed United States | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked United States | 63c | 20.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked United States | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Portugal won
- United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.