Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805526b9c5853060584e7697986534a1c73cc5249ca23f1fd623870d2e23cd02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 27c | 8,297$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.36 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 8,058$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 2,866$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,648$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 34c | 1,253$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 530.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.78 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 44c | 446.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 412.58$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 67c | 401.93$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 72c | 398.53$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 382.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 36c | 304.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 71c | 278.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 20c | 218.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 183.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 80c | 151.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 71c | 139.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 70c | 112.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 48c | 100.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 25c | 95.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 74c | 82.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 26c | 80.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 46c | 73.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 51c | 71.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 56c | 67.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 45c | 63.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 43.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 45c | 42.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 52c | 39.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 37c | 35.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 47c | 35.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 68c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 27.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked No | 55c | 24.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 23.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 71c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed No | 74c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 67c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 76c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed No | 65c | 15.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 73c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.