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Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over40c11,799$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,690.128743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c10,997$6,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.542,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c4,823$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.5719023.7%45 W · 145 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c3,440$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.8272050.1%361 W · 359 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under65c1,841$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.183863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over25c1,749$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.362429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under60c1,341$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.396858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c1,240$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over39c1,107$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.619054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over44c990.29$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.868757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c954.8$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.042,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under62c788.57$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9810650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over30c644.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.339937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under61c565.67$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.464365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under74c527.69$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.331376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under62c523.9$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.869650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under62c523.9$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.865162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over15c518.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1842647.9%204 W · 222 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under67c493.83$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4211346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.811348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c427.48$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8441253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under60c420$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under60c420$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under62c373.8$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3514752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under60c370$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14034852.9%184 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under59c336.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.474557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under61c327.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.713663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under59c314.61$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.683164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c308.7$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4844654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under57c295$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8511349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over41c294.09$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.584235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over45c256.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Under60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over18c212.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.076937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under63c208.52$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over29c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over37c195.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under64c193.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under62c158.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.236258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over43c158.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under62c153.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.363663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over43c144.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.294553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over44c144.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.625450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over44c142.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.697548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over44c137.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.578453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Under63c133.19$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.63862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under61c132.43$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under71c126.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7591243.3%395 W · 517 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under59c123$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4314258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.220951.7%108 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over39c118.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6713447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c112.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.734853.7%187 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over41c103.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.382445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over11c98.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over40c95.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.573562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under61c88.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.345135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over41c82.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2559…053bbacked Under80c81.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Under65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Under78c69.78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.521283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Over44c68.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over16c66.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.649440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over39c63.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8943955.4%243 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over43c63.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.219542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over37c62.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over43c60.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.034942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c54.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0432950.5%166 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c50.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7613142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0d…c27bbacked Over40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under57c47.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over38c45.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.385354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over39c43.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over29c42.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under65c41.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.613164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over40c41.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.534555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under65c41.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.231553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Under73c36.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Under57c35.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under58c34.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6612351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over41c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.016637.9%25 W · 41 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4910456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over40c31.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.411250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2421251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under62c28.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.951346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Under73c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over41c25.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.618143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Under64c24.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.94070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.