TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c9,727$5,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.481,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over47c4,638$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.5818923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c4,555$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.292,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under51c4,317$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.763450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over38c3,248$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.684247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over62c3,190$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.543464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c2,448$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.527358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over59c2,360$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.915655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.27552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,697$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.6393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under66c1,653$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.1832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over43c999.94$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.981050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over67c946.09$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.8868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over45c858.99$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5515042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over63c719.85$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.515354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over21c632.01$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over40c569.27$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.756937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under37c551.31$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over68c505.23$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over39c491.33$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6216032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over55c459.96$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under75c455.11$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.83663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over23c413.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.092842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over28c399.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over30c393.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.011533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6213636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c350$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over31c347.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.858453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under74c302.26$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.734365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over36c288.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over31c259.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.354942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under70c256.46$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.791376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over31c253.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7311346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over36c251.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.312429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c245$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.234553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over17c229.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9616526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over67c220.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over68c216.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.121540%6 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c195.69$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Over26c183.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.781612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under42c181.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c173.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Over16c171.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.523040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under73c166.93$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.733164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3bb…0f9fbacked Over32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.961855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed Under33c145.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+139.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over29c143.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.654045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under71c140.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.263076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over39c129.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.691747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c121.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under30c107.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under77c106.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.092857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under78c106.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.582166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over39c98.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5415238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c98.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5411161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5350%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under58c93.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.459650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under58c93.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.453663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under58c93.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.456258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under58c93.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.455162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c93.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.534551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Under77c84.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.19955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.295154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…1d61backed Over56c83.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over66c83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.781915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-60.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under32c73.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.312050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a2…1467backed Over68c72.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.34580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b1…cf21backed Over64c68.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.019440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over65c63.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4841854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over38c60.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.293243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under79c58.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Under37c58.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Under70c56.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Under74c55.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over40c52.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.033154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under34c50.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5611619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over64c50.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.29540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over66c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over68c49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.322040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under33c45.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.717548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over26c45.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.864158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under73c44.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8613350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e41…f180backed Over67c42.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under58c40.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9414752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over64c38.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.461030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.426552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over67c36.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.