Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3c727e485791e41d6c71d04cdbb4df52d26d81fa0853e6ff708f18b7d22215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 4,265$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.87 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 58c | 3,767$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 43c | 2,349$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.63 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ef4fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,974$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 57c | 1,660$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.21 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 42c | 1,359$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.22 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 60c | 837.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 43c | 837.21$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 42c | 392.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 372.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 44c | 274.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 42c | 264.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 40c | 206$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 41c | 171.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 58c | 163.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…77ddbacked Yes | 80c | 152$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 147.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 56c | 69.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 69.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 44c | 45.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 57c | 29.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed No | 59c | 28.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 57c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.