TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc270…a462backed Over51c16,270$8,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,040.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c14,837$8,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,065.872,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c9,056$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.2693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Under55c6,988$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under73c5,090$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.31553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over59c1,682$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.1321650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Over57c1,432$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.931376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over44c1,378$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.831546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c1,153$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.7746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over6c1,000$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under48c958.33$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Over57c886.38$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.576043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over53c849.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.492290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over35c615.41$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.963066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c449.13$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Over57c401.51$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Over57c350.74$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.651361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Over42c316$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.82365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over35c314.72$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7911856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c294.31$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.621,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over45c266.78$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8418055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under70c246.58$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over56c241.07$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0715648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Over37c214.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+100.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under48c207.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over29c205$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.73571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Over53c187.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.172245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…bee0backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.452969%20 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5e…a076backed Over48c168.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2514231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over34c149.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9914748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over43c149.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.071844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over45c142.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Over49c138$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.382568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c133.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over37c131$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c128.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2111268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over39c125$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3e…c2a2backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7023…b538backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under77c103$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Under77c101.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.765459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under65c101$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.89353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf5…6db3backed Under77c92.53$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7217958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c87.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over25c79.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.993551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over59c65.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.952263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over45c64.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Over76c60.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.563141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.576366.7%42 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…d799backed Over35c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+229.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee7…9fa2backed Over33c49.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.882733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over56c45.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.094170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under67c44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4811955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under75c42.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0815041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over37c41.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8411144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over48c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.999440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Over30c37.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Under51c36.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e14…bc35backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.914740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under57c29.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8224955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f6…dc27backed Over57c24.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.495343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.648143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Over52c20.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617d…90cfbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over58c18.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Under80c18.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.