UFC · resolved market
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15519349e5b94c6167470cc24664035bef413b39a6f80f5a101e8796f3817aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 71c | 534.77$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…34bbbacked No | 50c | 496.05$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…4906backed No | 50c | 492.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…68d1backed No | 50c | 486.39$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…ceccbacked No | 50c | 480$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4b…e16cbacked No | 50c | 477.7$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…e3d4backed No | 49c | 466.45$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…ad48backed No | 50c | 460.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…f3b8backed No | 50c | 459.35$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…1f2dbacked No | 50c | 457.37$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes | 56c | 319.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…939ebacked Yes | 48c | 272.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…b82abacked Yes | 48c | 270.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef91…5146backed Yes | 48c | 265.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…fc6fbacked Yes | 48c | 257.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…12bebacked Yes | 8c | 253.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +395.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…e491backed Yes | 48c | 248.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…eecdbacked No | 53c | 247.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…2cb9backed No | 53c | 246.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…9ad4backed Yes | 48c | 246.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…9157backed No | 62c | 237.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…3bbbbacked No | 62c | 236.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…a17cbacked No | 62c | 236.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9577…4eacbacked Yes | 48c | 235.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…f15abacked No | 62c | 234.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…5347backed No | 62c | 233.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3965…f11dbacked No | 62c | 232.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929b…0571backed No | 53c | 232.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…e429backed No | 53c | 232.04$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e21…2dd9backed No | 53c | 231.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…fe82backed No | 53c | 231.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…caf6backed No | 53c | 230.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…ef56backed No | 53c | 229.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…f599backed No | 62c | 229.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e12…27e2backed No | 51c | 228.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…3ef2backed No | 53c | 228.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451c…8a4cbacked Yes | 48c | 228.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…7568backed No | 53c | 228.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…cc3dbacked No | 53c | 227.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…d7c9backed No | 53c | 227.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…a81bbacked No | 53c | 227.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…02aabacked No | 53c | 227.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8603…9764backed No | 53c | 227.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…e912backed No | 53c | 227.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…24aebacked No | 62c | 227.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0600…83d8backed No | 62c | 227.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1291…a235backed No | 53c | 227.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…3bc8backed No | 51c | 227.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…cf7cbacked Yes | 48c | 226.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…71c4backed No | 53c | 226.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…835abacked No | 62c | 226.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…4cbabacked No | 53c | 226.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…76e7backed No | 53c | 226.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6f…f8c5backed No | 53c | 226.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff8…7868backed No | 53c | 226.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c75…2449backed No | 53c | 226.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…ec58backed No | 53c | 226.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…a2a3backed No | 51c | 226.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…14d1backed No | 49c | 226$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…d998backed No | 53c | 225.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…7ee5backed No | 51c | 225.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…87a1backed No | 53c | 225.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…b916backed No | 62c | 225.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…acb8backed No | 53c | 225.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…932cbacked No | 53c | 225.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…ddc8backed No | 62c | 225.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…1031backed No | 53c | 224.88$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…37e2backed No | 49c | 224.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…fdf6backed No | 47c | 224.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…1fc4backed No | 62c | 224.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…e0e6backed No | 51c | 224.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af1…4768backed No | 49c | 224.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…e2b7backed No | 53c | 223.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…cc40backed No | 49c | 223.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…497fbacked No | 51c | 223.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a5adbacked No | 49c | 222.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b1…cff9backed No | 62c | 222.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…ca35backed No | 51c | 222.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…6139backed No | 49c | 222.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…d909backed No | 53c | 222.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5c…82c8backed No | 53c | 222.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…5804backed No | 49c | 222.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…447abacked No | 49c | 221.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…b930backed No | 53c | 221.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…7922backed No | 53c | 221.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…73e1backed No | 49c | 221.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96b…4b3fbacked No | 62c | 221.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…496bbacked No | 53c | 221.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…bec0backed No | 62c | 221.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…e33dbacked No | 53c | 221.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…41f2backed No | 62c | 221.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…e225backed No | 49c | 220.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…d611backed No | 51c | 220.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…b393backed No | 62c | 220.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…6782backed No | 62c | 220.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…52c2backed No | 53c | 218.14$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c2…81e1backed No | 53c | 217.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…bb0abacked No | 51c | 217.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…2a7fbacked No | 53c | 216.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?this page
- Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Paddy Pimblett next?No won
- Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?No won
- Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?No won
- Will Rafael Fiziev fight Paddy Pimblett next?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.