Europa Conference League · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9131ecfa44cbfe3c77282f67d91af8326bdf7faf792a227611213cff4c20f46e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 5,784$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 26c | 2,733$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,695$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,681$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 513.62$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 54c | 342.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 289.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 272.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 52c | 233.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 55c | 225$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 43c | 197.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 49c | 189.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 43c | 185.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 161.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…b806backed Yes | 57c | 144.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…3873backed Yes | 57c | 98.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 98.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 87.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 71.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Yes | 52c | 68.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 40c | 41.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked No | 50c | 35.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed No | 59c | 34.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 33.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 31.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 57c | 24.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 57c | 23.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Yes | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 57c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed No | 60c | 16.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.